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BANGLADESH UNREST
Primary factor for government failure in Bangladesh Political Instability: Deep corruption and mostly between the Awami League (AL) and the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) have drastically distinguished Bangladesh. This has caused regular strikes, demonstrations, and problems in creating a cohereRead more
Primary factor for government failure in Bangladesh
Political Instability: Deep corruption and mostly between the Awami League (AL) and the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) have drastically distinguished Bangladesh. This has caused regular strikes, demonstrations, and problems in creating a coherent governance structure.
Authoritarianism: The Sheikh Hasina administration has been slammed for eroding democratic institutions, stifling dissent, and centralizing power. Further undermining the government are charges of vote-rigging and suppression of opposition.
Economic problems: Despite first growth, Bangladesh currently faces inflation, a rising trade deficit, and a falling foreign exchange reserves that are putting financial stress on the nation. These have led the common people to consider the laws unfavorably.
Great corruption in government, administration, and public services shakes the people’s faith and leads to policy stagnation.
Driving people apart are human rights abuses such suppression of free speech, media censorship, and excessive police use against political dissent.
6. Social and Environmental Issues: Increasing inequality, unemployment, and climate change challenges such as recurrent floods and displacement have added to the failure of the government in redressing public grievances.
Impact on India Foreign Policy
1. Border Security: Especially from Assam and West Bengal, political and economic instability in Bangladesh could lead to more cross border migration into IndiaThis could only be prevented if India improved its border control system in preventing illegal immigrants and smuggled goods from Bangladesh.
Strain on Bilateral Relations: Sheikh Hasina government has always been India’s closest ally for decades. The growing unrest and anti-India sentiments in various parts of Bangladesh might be putting a strain on this relationship.
3. Radical Forces: Political instability would open up Bangladesh to radical forces that can threaten regional security. In such a scenario, India and Bangladesh would have to work together even more closely on counterterrorism initiatives.
4. Teesta Water-sharing Agreement and other regional connectivity: Instability may continue to jeopardize the implementation of the water-sharing agreement on Teesta or regional connectivity plans that adversely affect Indian economic and strategic interests in the region.
At this moment, with Bangladesh in chaos inside China will most probably start to exert more power by offering its financial or political support. India should balance these by means of economics and diplomatic engagement.
Bangladesh instability could be contagious for the whole South Asia area, therefore affecting organizations throughout the region such as SAARC. India might have to reconsider its approach to neighborhood stability.
See lessInternational Relation
The Indian diplomatic approach toward the Russia-Ukraine conflict focuses on being neutral while acting as a mediator that promotes dialogue and peaceful conflict resolution approaches. -Balancing Act: As India seeks to maintain stability within its diplomacy it balances its historic Russian relatioRead more
The Indian diplomatic approach toward the Russia-Ukraine conflict focuses on being neutral while acting as a mediator that promotes dialogue and peaceful conflict resolution approaches.
-Balancing Act: As India seeks to maintain stability within its diplomacy it balances its historic Russian relations with neighboring Western alliances.
-Historical Ties: For the past few decades India maintained deep military and political alliances with Russia while Russia functioned as a leading provider of national defense materials to the Indian government.
-Evolving Geopolitical Landscape: As India deepens its diplomatic relations with the West they continue active dialogue on both security strategies and economic collaboration with the United States.
-Humanitarian Aid: India delivers support for Ukrainian civilians while continuing to support peaceful conflict resolution in the country.
-Abstentions at UN: India continues to abstain from United Nations votes that condemn Russia’s operations in Ukraine because the country wants to stay neutral in international disputes.
-Focus on Dialogue: India pushes for diplomatic resolution of the Ukraine conflict while sharing its willingness to mediate but future mediation prospects appear uncertain.
Key Challenges:
-Maintaining Neutrality: Keeping Russia relations balanced while preserving Western ties about Ukraine faces India with their major problem.
-Influence: The deeply set positions taken by principal actors make it unlikely that India can significantly shape the situation.
-Local Issues: India faces energy security concerns together with fluctuations in its worldwide economic Projection resulting from both issues being specific to the region.
India moves through the intricate geopolitical dynamics as it attempts to build a constructive role toward Russia’s conflict with Ukraine. India acts with strategic independence to solve conflicts nonviolently while retaining awareness about how problematic and challenging the Ukraine-Russia crisis remains.
See lessWhat are the changes in India's foreign policy since 1947?
India after its independence in 1947 had a broad foreign policy orientation till the end of 1980's by being 'Non Aligned' which meant not to be either aligned or against any superpower and maintaining strategic confrontation with both the U.S.A. and the U.S.S.R. although being ambivalent towards theRead more
India after its independence in 1947 had a broad foreign policy orientation till the end of 1980’s by being ‘Non Aligned’ which meant not to be either aligned or against any superpower and maintaining strategic confrontation with both the U.S.A. and the U.S.S.R. although being ambivalent towards the global ideology till cold war. Further India strongly walked on the principles of anti- imperialism, anti- racism, anti- colonialism and focused on peaceful coexistence (panchsheel) and global stability.
With the rise of globalisation in the 1980’s during Rajiv Gandhi’s era, India walked into the path of pro liberalisation and capitalism by adopting an open market economy and strengthening ties with the western powers. With the launch of “Look East” policy, India turned into a big-power in the South Asian region, forming regional organisation (allies). With this India adopted the policy of “Multi Alignment” or “Strategic Autonomy” which is an extension of “Non Alignment”, this continues till present. India thus finds itself to be “viswa guru” by maintaining friendly ties with all the countries.
See lessWhat are the new developments in the current situation of Bangladesh and what are it's implications for India?
On 5th August 2024, Sheikh Hasina was forced to resign from the post of Prime Minister of Bangladesh and flee the country due to protests by students against the quota system which is said to favour loyalists of Sheikh Hasina’s Awami League. In the aftermath, Nobel laureate Muhammad Yunus became theRead more
On 5th August 2024, Sheikh Hasina was forced to resign from the post of Prime Minister of Bangladesh and flee the country due to protests by students against the quota system which is said to favour loyalists of Sheikh Hasina’s Awami League. In the aftermath, Nobel laureate Muhammad Yunus became the interim Prime Minister. Violence in Bangladesh has not died down completely as some conservative members are now targeting the minority Hindu community.
India and Bangladesh shared a robust relationship under the government of Sheikh Hasina. Economically, India supported Bangladesh with trade concessions and low interest lines of credit. Bangladesh is a major buyer of Indian electricity earning significant revenue.
The coup in Bangladesh creates more uncertainty in India’s neighbourhood. This will force India to increase its defence expenditure. This is detrimental for as a developing country, India has to focus on other areas like education and health.
After elections there is a chance that Khalida Zia’s Bangladesh National Party may come to power which is anti-India. India is also concerned about the situation of Hindu minorities and has formed a committee to monitor the situation.
Major changes are taking place in Bangladesh and its impacts would be felt in India in the coming times.
See lessWhat is India's current foreign policy in regards to China, with the situation of Russia-Ukraine war in mind?
India's current foreign policy towards China is a combination of collaboration and cutthroat competition with strategic hedging from it. Ties between the two countries have been strained, especially after a border standoff in 2020. While such initiatives have aimed to thaw ties, disagreements over sRead more
India’s current foreign policy towards China is a combination of collaboration and cutthroat competition with strategic hedging from it. Ties between the two countries have been strained, especially after a border standoff in 2020. While such initiatives have aimed to thaw ties, disagreements over substantial issues like territorial disputes—China is sending out some heavy artillery in South Asia as well —and India’s strategic partnerships with the US ensure that problems will endure.
India has adopted a composite strategy that combines diplomacy and force in dealing with China. On the other, multilateral forums like the SCO and BRICS where it is involved with China on several issues. On the other side, India has bolstered its border defenses and stepped up strategic alignments with China wary like USA and Japan.
The Russia-Ukraine war has brought a new dimension and problem to India’s foreign policy. India, however, has struck a cautious note by refraining from naming Russia and instead called for dialogue & respect of sovereignty besides maintaining strategic neutrality. This policy shift has its roots in India’s traditional closeness to Russia, notably in defence and energy. Of course, India could not afford to go out against Western powers particularly the United States which has left a great influence on their neutrality.
India is of course more broadly influenced by its strategic calculus concerning China as well, within the dynamics of the Russia-Ukraine war. India aims to maintain a stable relationship with China – not only is it engaged in the Quad that seeks to balance an overbearing Chinese influence in the Indo-Pacific region, but India also concedes that escalation will be detrimental.
The pragmatic nature of India’s foreign policy is evident in the manner it navigates through the complexity inherent in part due to its security interests and strategic interests. Its stance on the (Russia-Ukraine war and Chinese ties are guided by its strategy to preserve autonomy in a multipolar world.
See lessAs India's role in the global order increases, critically examine the challenges and opportunities it faces in balancing its strategic autonomy with global cooperation.
As India's role in the global order grows, it faces several challenges and opportunities in balancing its strategic autonomy with global cooperation. Challenges: 1. Climate Change: India needs to balance economic growth with reducing carbon emissions. This is hard because India relies on coal for enRead more
As India’s role in the global order grows, it faces several challenges and opportunities in balancing its strategic autonomy with global cooperation.
Challenges:
1. Climate Change: India needs to balance economic growth with reducing carbon emissions. This is hard because India relies on coal for energy, which conflicts with global climate goals.
2. Trade Policies: Protecting local industries while participating in global trade is tricky. India’s trade policies sometimes clash with international free trade standards.
3. Terrorism: India must work with other countries to combat terrorism. Sharing intelligence and resources is essential, but India also needs to maintain its security independence.
Opportunities:
1. Global Leadership: India can lead on issues like climate change and sustainable development, influencing global policies while protecting its interests.
2. Economic Growth: Engaging in global trade and investment can boost India’s economy, creating jobs and driving innovation.
3. Diplomatic Influence: By strengthening ties with various countries, India can enhance its diplomatic influence and navigate complex international relations.
In summary, India must balance its desire for strategic autonomy with the need for global cooperation by leveraging its growing influence, participating actively in international forums, and implementing smart domestic policies.
See lessCan Prime Minister Narendra Modi successfully balance India’s longstanding relationship with Russia with courting closer ties with Western powers?
Prime Minister Narendra Modi deals with the dilemma of keeping India's traditional alliance with Russia and its desire to tighten it with Western powers in balance. Here are some key factors to consider: 1. **Historical Relationship with Russia**: India and Russia are old friends as they have a relaRead more
Prime Minister Narendra Modi deals with the dilemma of keeping India’s traditional alliance with Russia and its desire to tighten it with Western powers in balance. Here are some key factors to consider:
1. **Historical Relationship with Russia**: India and Russia are old friends as they have a relationship that goes back to the time of the Cold War. It is through these ties that they have been cooperating in defense, involved in economic relations, and also shared their views on global issues with other. This affiliation has always been a defense-based one that needed an economic link and a soft power alignment in global policies.
2. **Evolving Geopolitical Dynamics**: The international scenario is not the same as it was during the time of the Cold War, and India is looking to relate to other countries as well. Among others, the efforts of India to strengthen its ties with Western powers like the United States, the European Union, and the United Kingdom should be noted as well.
3. **Strategic Autonomy**: India prides itself with its strategic autonomy and has always been unofficially non-aligned in the foreign policy department. This position also gives India the upper hand in communicating with different nations and they could do so without being dependent on any single country.
4. **Defense and Technology Collaboration**: Russia has remained one of the firm standpoints of India in terms of their defense equipment and the transfer of technology. Through lean diversification of their defense importing strategy, India still heavily depends on Russian military hardware.
5. **Economic Considerations**: In comparison to defense and strategic cooperation, the financial links between India and Russia have been less developed. Both the countries have shown interest in broadening the front of economic cooperation and the most suggested areas in this sector are energy and technology.
6. **Global Diplomacy**: Strengthening ties with the West by working on the Indo-Pacific strategy, involving in the Quad (India, US, Japan, Australia), and joining international forums and partnerships that serve as India’s strategic interests have all been combined by Modi.
7. **Challenges and Balancing Acts**: These international relationships need smart diplomacy to balance them out. As the government under Modi has appreciated the scope of Russian influence in China and Ukraine developments, it has also been successful in sustaining India’s involvement in multilaterals like BRICS.
Wrapping up, on the one hand, the principal goals of Prime Minister Modi when moving in the direction of reinforcing these links are technology, investment, and strategic alignment with the West; On the other hand, the importance of the relationship with Russia for historical reasons, defense, and global interests shared by both of them still remains. Thoroughly dealing with these relationships needs a well-thought-out approach and the skill to ensure India’s national interests are safeguarded while also harnessing broader global cooperation.
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