Primary factor for government failure in Bangladesh

Political Instability: Deep corruption and mostly between the Awami League (AL) and the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) have drastically distinguished Bangladesh. This has caused regular strikes, demonstrations, and problems in creating a coherent governance structure.

Authoritarianism: The Sheikh Hasina administration has been slammed for eroding democratic institutions, stifling dissent, and centralizing power. Further undermining the government are charges of vote-rigging and suppression of opposition.

Economic problems: Despite first growth, Bangladesh currently faces inflation, a rising trade deficit, and a falling foreign exchange reserves that are putting financial stress on the nation. These have led the common people to consider the laws unfavorably.

Great corruption in government, administration, and public services shakes the people’s faith and leads to policy stagnation.

Driving people apart are human rights abuses such suppression of free speech, media censorship, and excessive police use against political dissent.

6. Social and Environmental Issues: Increasing inequality, unemployment, and climate change challenges such as recurrent floods and displacement have added to the failure of the government in redressing public grievances.

Impact on India Foreign Policy

1. Border Security: Especially from Assam and West Bengal, political and economic instability in Bangladesh could lead to more cross border migration into IndiaThis could only be prevented if India improved its border control system in preventing illegal immigrants and smuggled goods from Bangladesh.

Strain on Bilateral Relations: Sheikh Hasina government has always been India’s closest ally for decades. The growing unrest and anti-India sentiments in various parts of Bangladesh might be putting a strain on this relationship.

3. Radical Forces: Political instability would open up Bangladesh to radical forces that can threaten regional security. In such a scenario, India and Bangladesh would have to work together even more closely on counterterrorism initiatives.

4. Teesta Water-sharing Agreement and other regional connectivity: Instability may continue to jeopardize the implementation of the water-sharing agreement on Teesta or regional connectivity plans that adversely affect Indian economic and strategic interests in the region.

At this moment, with Bangladesh in chaos inside China will most probably start to exert more power by offering its financial or political support. India should balance these by means of economics and diplomatic engagement.

Bangladesh instability could be contagious for the whole South Asia area, therefore affecting organizations throughout the region such as SAARC. India might have to reconsider its approach to neighborhood stability.