What effects would the US troop pullout from Afghanistan have on India? Observation (200 words) [2018 UPSC]
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Impact of the Withdrawal of U.S. Troops from Afghanistan on India
1. Regional Security Concerns: The withdrawal of U.S. troops has intensified security concerns for India. The resurgence of the Taliban poses a threat to regional stability, with potential spillover effects into neighboring countries. For instance, the Taliban’s return to power in 2021 has already led to increased tensions along the Afghanistan-Pakistan border, affecting India’s security environment.
2. Impact on India-Afghanistan Relations: India’s extensive developmental investments in Afghanistan might be jeopardized. The Taliban’s control could undermine India’s projects, including infrastructure and humanitarian aid. For example, the Indian-funded Salma Dam could face operational challenges under Taliban rule.
3. Strategic and Geopolitical Implications: The power vacuum in Afghanistan might lead to increased influence of other regional actors like Pakistan and China. India could face challenges in maintaining its strategic interests in the region as Pakistan’s role might grow, impacting its own security dynamics.
4. Counterterrorism Efforts: The withdrawal might enhance terrorist activities and affect India’s counterterrorism strategies. Increased militant activity in Afghanistan could spill over to India, impacting its internal security and counterterrorism measures.
Conclusion: The U.S. troop withdrawal from Afghanistan has multifaceted implications for India, including heightened security risks, potential disruptions to developmental projects, and changes in regional geopolitical dynamics.