Inflation is referred to as a rise in the general level of prices or a sustained rise in the general level of price. In case, general price level rises, each unit of money buys fewer goods and services. Consequently, Inflation ...
Introduction The Indian economy remained resilient with a robust 7.6% growth rate of GDP in FY 2023-24, positioning itself among the fastest-growing major economies. However, this economic success has not translated proportionally into human development gains, as evident from India’s low ranking inRead more
Introduction
The Indian economy remained resilient with a robust 7.6% growth rate of GDP in FY 2023-24, positioning itself among the fastest-growing major economies.
- However, this economic success has not translated proportionally into human development gains, as evident from India’s low ranking in the Human Development Index (HDI) 2023-24 i.e, 134th out of 193 countries in 2022.
Body
Reasons for the Disconnect Between GDP Growth and Human Development
- Unequal Distribution of Wealth and Regional Imbalances
- Wealth Concentration: According to Oxfam’s 2023 report, just 5% of Indians own more than 60 per cent of the country’s wealth, creating vast income disparities that prevent equitable access to health and education.
- Urban-Rural Divide: While urban areas witness better access to services, rural areas remain under-resourced, lacking basic healthcare, sanitation, and education infrastructure.
- Inadequate Health Infrastructure
- Low Health Expenditure: India’s public health expenditure remains at around 2.1% of GDP (Economic Survey 2023-24), leading to insufficient healthcare services and high out-of-pocket expenditure.
- Poor Health Outcomes: The National Family Health Survey-5 (NFHS-5) indicates high levels of malnutrition and child stunting (35.5%), revealing the need for more targeted health programs.
- Educational Disparities and Quality Concerns
- Access and Quality Gap: Though primary school enrollment is high, there are significant gaps in learning outcomes.
- The ASER 2022 report highlights a significant decline in children’s reading skills, with only 42.8% of fifth graders able to read Class 2-level text,
- Skill Mismatch: Only 51.25% of India’s graduates are employable, with significant challenges in vocational training and skilling (Economic Survey 2023-24).
- Access and Quality Gap: Though primary school enrollment is high, there are significant gaps in learning outcomes.
- Limited Social Security and Employment Opportunities
- Employment Issues: High GDP growth has not translated into adequate job creation.
- Unemployment rates, particularly among youth, reached 8.11% in April 2023 (CMIE data), reflecting an imbalance between growth and livelihoods.
- Social Security Deficits: Currently only about 35 million out of a workforce of 400 million have access to formal social security in the form of old-age income protection leaving large sections vulnerable to economic shocks.
- Employment Issues: High GDP growth has not translated into adequate job creation.
- Environmental and Ecological Challenges
- Pollution and Health Impact: According to IQAir, India ranks as the third most polluted country globally, with 42 of its cities making it into the top 50 most polluted cities.
- Vulnerability to Climate Change: Climate-related challenges, like extreme heat waves and abrupt droughts, impact agriculture and lead to displacement, affecting rural livelihoods and human development.
Measures to Ensure Inclusive Development:
- Enhanced Public Investment in Health and Education
- Increase Health Budget: Raising healthcare spending to 4-5% of GDP, focusing on primary and preventive healthcare, can improve health outcomes and reduce inequality.
- Education Reforms: Implement the National Education Policy (NEP) 2020’s focus on vocational education, digital learning, and regional language instruction to bridge the skill gap and improve employability.
- Addressing Inequalities through Targeted Welfare Programs
- Strengthening Social Safety Nets: Expanding coverage under schemes like Ayushman Bharat and the PM Jan Dhan Yojana can improve access to financial and health security for marginalized groups.
- Direct Benefit Transfers (DBTs): Improving DBT implementation to ensure timely and effective delivery of welfare benefits can empower vulnerable populations and reduce poverty.
- Promoting Employment and Skill Development
- Skill India and Startup India Programs: Revamping skill development programs with industry-aligned curricula, especially in emerging fields like AI and renewable energy, can enhance job creation and productivity.
- MSME Sector Support: Targeted assistance for Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), which account for a significant portion of employment, can stimulate job growth across regions.
- Focus on Sustainable and Green Development
- Renewable Energy Investments: Expanding renewable energy projects, in line with India’s COP26 commitments, can create sustainable jobs, particularly in rural areas, while reducing environmental degradation.
- Promote Climate-Resilient Agriculture: Programs like the Pradhan Mantri Krishi Sinchayee Yojana (PMKSY) should enhance focus on climate-resilient farming techniques to protect rural livelihoods and food security.
- Improving Data Collection and Policy Implementation
- Real-Time Data Monitoring: Leveraging real-time data for health, employment, and poverty tracking can improve targeted delivery of social programs.
- Decentralized Governance: Strengthening local governance to ensure that welfare schemes reach the grassroots effectively, especially in underserved regions.
Conclusion
Achieving high GDP growth alone cannot address the complex social challenges India faces. By investing in human capital, bridging regional inequalities, promoting sustainable development, and ensuring social security, India can achieve a more inclusive development model.
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Rising inflation directly doesn't lead to increase in india's GDP, Rather it leads too increase in nominal GDP of the country which is calculated at current year prices of final goods and services, that neans inflation leads to increase in nominal GDP even if the productivity of the country is stagnRead more
Rising inflation directly doesn’t lead to increase in india’s GDP,
Rather it leads too increase in nominal GDP of the country which is calculated at current year prices of final goods and services, that neans inflation leads to increase in nominal GDP even if the productivity of the country is stagnent
Which makes Nominal GDP of a country as an illusionary indicator of growth in an economy while real indicator is increase in Real GDP which is calculated at base year prices (unaffected by inflation)
Infact sometimes Increase in Nominal GDP of a country results in negetive growth in following ways
1. Increase in cost of production
As a result of increase in general price levels producers would face increase in cost of production, This leads to lower profit margins which makes the producers difficult to survive
2 Lower consumer spending in long term
Rise in general price levels leads to decrease in purchasing power of consumer if income doesn’t increase proportionately, as a result consumer tends to reduce the consumption
3. Rise in interest rates
To curb the inflation RBI mmay increase the interest rates, so that it makes costly to consumer to borrow and it tends to lower the consumer spending
4. Economic unstability
Inflation leads to uncertainty in economy which makes it difficult to make decisions for consumers as well as producers which results in. Economic unstability
GOVERNMENT can take necessary steps to curb the inflation through fiscal policy so as to reduce uncertainty in market by
• Increasing taxes on income to reduce the purchasing power of consumers
• decresing govt spending or investments
• borrowing more from public to reduce the money supply in markets
Through monitery policy by
• increase in repo rates or reverse repo rates
• controlling open market operations
• increasing interest rates etc
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