Do you believe that the BRICS’s future has been called into question due to their divergent long-term economic trajectories and political differences?
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BRIC was conceived by British Economist Jim O’Neill signifying the four most dynamic emerging economies. It has over time evolved as the BRICS grouping with the inclusion of South Africa. It has evolved as a symbol of shifting global landscape. It is the acronym coined to associate five major emerging national economies: Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. The BRICS members are known for their significant influence on regional affairs. It represents over 40% of the global population and around 22% of Global GDP. Four out of five members are among the world’s ten largest countries by population and by area, except for South Africa, the twenty-fourth in both.
Economic Divergence And Political Differences
However, scholars like Joseph Nye have criticised it as BRICS without mortar, emphasising the internal fractures and divergences within the grouping. Some of these can be identified as divergences in long term economic trajectory and political differences:
Economic Divergences
Political Differences
1. Political diversity: China is a one-party state; Russia’s governance is highly centralized; Brazil, India, and South Africa are democracies with significant corruption levels and/or ethnic strife still to deal with. Following is an effort to elucidate country-specific cases:
2.India-China bilateral issues: Given the disruptions and instabilities that mark India-China relation, for example, the recent border skirmishes at Galwan valley; there is always a threat of derailment of negotiations at a plurilateral platform like BRICS. 3. Similarly, another emerging axis like the Pakistan-Russia axis or the Moscow-Beijing-Islamabad axis may create divergences with Indian interests and adversely affect negotiations. Further, the fact remains that BRICS is still far from achieving its initial goals: reform of global financial governance, the democratisation of the United Nations, and the expansion of the Security Council. It is so, partially because two of its members (China and Russia) do not want the other three members (India, South Africa and Brazil) to obtain parity in the global pecking order. Notwithstanding these divergences and differences, efforts can be made to enable BRICS to achieve its potential:
Cooperation under the aegis of BRICS not only signified the economic potential of emerging economies but also the pinnacle of South-South bonding. Against the backdrop of the continued Western dominance of the world order, development cooperation and enhanced partnership in kindred areas of technology and innovation among BRICS countries will help create a more symmetrical world. It can also act as a bulwark against the rising walls of protectionism and an inward-looking world view driven by deglobalisation and COVID induced economic shock. As PM Modi emphasises, if BRICS can set and lead the agenda of the global world order, a Golden decade can be created for humankind. Alternately, BRICS should stand for “business, regional integration, innovation, culture and statesmanship.”